When tracking data over time, what does averaging the last three values represent?

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Averaging the last three values is best understood as a moving average. This statistical technique is commonly used in time series data to smooth out short-term fluctuations and highlight longer-term trends or cycles. By taking the average of the most recent values, a moving average provides insights into the direction of the data over time, making it easier to analyze patterns.

The moving average is particularly helpful in observing trends because it reduces noise from irregular variations that can obscure the overall trend. This approach is widely utilized in various fields, such as finance for stock price analysis, and in economics for understanding indicators like GDP growth rates.

In contrast, standard deviation measures the variation or dispersion of a set of values from the mean, which does not specifically involve averaging recent data points. A mean average typically refers to the overall average of a set of numbers rather than a specific methodology focused on recent values. Lastly, an overall total simply sums up the values without providing insight into trends, which does not address the idea of tracking data over time. Therefore, the concept of averaging the last three values aligns most closely with the definition and application of a moving average.